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Top 10 Key Technology Market Trends for 2025: A Forecast Analysis (7)

When the Apple Vision Pro is launched in 2024, it takes the third place in shipments with a market share of 5%. Despite the high price and limited application resources, the sales performance of the new Apple products in the past is not outstanding, but the launch of the Vision Pro has allowed VR and MR devices to break away from the leisure and entertainment fields that ordinary consumers have preferred in the past, and further develop in the direction of multi-productivity tools. Whether it's simple document editing, conference participation, or advanced applications in professional fields such as healthcare and education, Vision Pro sets a new benchmark for the industry. In addition, for the first time in this field, the Vision Pro uses OLEDoS as a display technology, setting a new benchmark for product specifications.

LEDoS near-eye display technology has achieved a milestone in the weight and visual experience of AR devices

In the field of near-eye display technology, LEDoS technology is expected to become the future technology of the AR market due to its high brightness and volume advantages, especially for users who have been outdoors for a long time. Although Meta's Orion is not a mass-produced device, it is equipped with an LEDoS display and a SiC optical waveguide that provides a field of view (FOV) of up to 70 degrees and weighs less than 100 grams, setting a new lightweight milestone. In addition to LEDoS, the near-eye display technologies currently available in AR glasses include OLEDoS, LCoS, LBS (Laser Beam Scanning), etc., which enrich the development of AR displays and allow more flexibility in hardware design.

Figure:Shipment share of major VR and MR device brands in 2024

Figure:Shipment share of major VR and MR device brands in 2024

Future Trends

Market Penetration Increase:

TrendForce estimates that VR/MR device shipments will reach 37 million units by 2030, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 23% from 2023 to 2030.

AR device shipments will reach 25.5 million units in 2030, with a compound annual growth rate of 67% from 2023 to 2030.

Intensified competition in technology:

OLEDoS will dominate the high-end VR/MR market, with the technology accounting for 23% by 2030. LCDs will continue to dominate the mainstream market, with 63% of near-eye display devices using this technology.

The penetration rate of LEDoS in the AR field will gradually increase, and it is expected to reach 44% by 2030, becoming the mainstream technology in the market.

Application Scenario Expansion:

The launch of Vision Pro has not only changed consumers' perception of VR/MR devices, but also attracted more brands to redefine the functions and application attributes of VR and MR, which is expected to drive the emergence of more innovative applications.

The application scenarios of AR devices will expand from entertainment to more productivity tool fields, such as healthcare, education, manufacturing, etc., further increasing their market value.

Technological innovation and intensified competition:

In terms of AR display technology, MicroLED is expected to become the next generation of AR display technology due to its advantages of high brightness, low power consumption, and high contrast. It is estimated that the output value of microLED in the AR industry will increase from $2 million to $1.1 billion from 2022 to 2030, with a compound annual growth rate of 120%.

In terms of optical display, diffractive optical waveguide technology is expected to increase its penetration rate in the future due to its higher grating design and production flexibility, better mass production capacity and yield than geometric optical waveguides.

In summary, the emergence of Vision Pro and LEDoS technology has not only reshaped the VR/MR and AR markets, but also laid a solid foundation for future development. With the continuous advancement of technology and the gradual maturity of the market, these devices will be widely used in more fields to bring users a richer experience.


Related:

Top 10 Key Technology Market Trends for 2025: A Forecast Analysis (1)

Top 10 Key Technology Market Trends for 2025: A Forecast Analysis (2)

Top 10 Key Technology Market Trends for 2025: A Forecast Analysis (3)

Top 10 Key Technology Market Trends for 2025: A Forecast Analysis (4)

Top 10 Key Technology Market Trends for 2025: A Forecast Analysis (5)

Top 10 Key Technology Market Trends for 2025: A Forecast Analysis (6)

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